Applying chaos theory to risk management in a game of chance

Purpose: The purpose of the paper is to illustrate the usage of techniques known from chaos theory to analyze the risk Design/methodology/approach: In this case the objects of application are winnings graphs of different poker players. Two types of players are presented; winning players (those with positive expected value) and breaking even players (expected value close to zero). Findings: Charts were analyzed with a fractal dimension calculated with the box method. Originality/value: Relation between fractal dimension and Hurst exponent is shown. Relation between risk in sense of chaos theory and players’ long-term winning is also described. Further applications of chaos theory to analyze the risk in games of chance are also proposed.

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Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2020).