Application of discriminant analysis to the evaluation and forecasting of economic situation in Poland

This paper describes the indicators of the present and future economical situation. The discriminant analysis has been used. The real income increase, gross fixed capital formation and low USD/PLN exchange rate are the good prosperity indicators. The next year prosperity is indicated by high increase of the gross fixed capital formation, high current account and budget deficit values (as GDP %) and decreases of the private and public consumption expenditure, export and low unemployment rate at the end of the year.