Forecasting in economic sciences in the context of chaos theory

The aim of the article is to determine the epistemological status of forecasting in economic sciences in the context of chaos theory. Achieving the aim required the use of logical analysis and conceptual construction. The article defines two criteria for recognising a given system as being chaotic. The first one (subjective) concerns the appearance of the complexity characteristic of indeterminism. The second one (objective) concerns the occurrence of the sensitivity of the system to the initial conditions. The study examines the occurrence of both traits in economic systems and finally concludes that the epistemological status of forecasting in economic sciences is negative.

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Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).