Forecasting and designing in security – theoretical aspects (Part I)

Processes coming from outside the realm of cognition have a significant and critical impact on the functioning of the state in the turbulent security environment of the 21st century. Consequently, the main aim of the article was to demonstrate in theory the usefulness of forecasting and designing as complementary research procedures in the process of strategic analysis in the field of security in a changeable, highly complex and unpredictable state environment. The author’s intent is also to outline the concept of using designing as a strategic analysis tool in practice in another article. When it comes to state security, the fundamental feature of strategic planning is that through building strategic plans the future can and should be shaped in a rational and orderly manner. When designing in the field of security, the methodology developed by Wojciech Gasparski both with the model IV of the idealising theory of science described by Leszek Nowak can be applied.

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Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr POPUL/SP/0154/2024/02 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki II" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki (2025).