Gyventojų rinkiminės elgsenos kaita Vilniaus suburbanizacijos zonoje

This paper analyses the influence of suburbanization on the electoral behaviour of residents based on the election data of the Lithuanian Parliament (2000 – 2012), and the President and the municipality. The research area is Vilnius suburban zone which is dominated by the Polish identity residents. The intensifying suburbanization may lead to ethnicity conflict between local residents (the Polish) and new suburbans who are mainly Lithuanians. The election data in Vilnius suburban zone were analysed in the context of neighbourhood effect and spatial context theories. According to the two theories, there are two types of voters, namely the newcomers - who prefer political centre – right and the long – term residents, who are mainly Polish voters for political centre – left. The distribution trend of different voters are closely related to the population changes in Vilnius suburban zone. References 20. Figs 5. Table 1. In Lithuanian, summary in English.