„Nowe zazielenienie” WPR i jego wpływ na wyniki ekonomiczne polskich gospodarstw rolnych

After a long debate between political bodies of the EU, the final decision about the shape of the CAP in the next programming period has been made. The initial proposal of the European Commission was very ambitious yet, after the announcement of its final version, there is a common belief that green requirements have been watered down. This paper presents the results of impact analysis based on the most recent proposition of CAP reform with a special focus on “greening” of direct payments. It evaluates changes in economic results of Polish farms in the perspective of the year 2019. For the analyses, the authors proposed an original farm typology using data taken from 10890 farms from FADN sample in 2011. Farm optimization model with PMP technique was used to estimate potential effects of the reform for 218 types of Polish farms. Farm model results have been up-scaled to the country level. Results show that majority of Polish farms are already complying with the new requirements. Adjustment of remaining farms to the new requirements leads to negligible impact on income generated by Polish farm sector.